…a follow up

In the incredibly vain hope that anyone reads this, I can hear them saying ‘put your money where your mouth is’.

I did.

Method: give pollsters 10% credence, look at the exit polls, bet on Trump gaining 1-2% in states that appeared close to the wire.
This didn’t entirely play out as expected, but due to the lumpings together of results, it was a safe bet.

Bets placed;
£16: 240-269 ECV’s, 6/1 odds

£15: 270-299 ECV’s, 8/1 odds (lol)

£19: 300-329 ECV’s, 6/1 odds

£25: 330-359 ECV’s, 4/1 odds
Bookies favourite was Biden 360-389 on 3/2.

All had similar winnings, the last was stupidly based on the Economist’s forecast of 350 ECV’s. They may need a new forecaster…

Well now we know – they all do.

(I do not claim to have any credit or rights over the image of the joker. This page is not for profit, and just burns a small subscription fee through my wallet every year- but hey, IP law for the arts is corrupt. In no way does Warner Bro’s or whoever owns the rights to this one endorse me as a pollster, weather balloon, or sage. They probably don’t like anything I say and I want to make clear, I have no ownership of their copyrighted property.)